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  1. #1

    Default General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    Warming up and sunshine heading into November's opening weekend. Looking at next storm potential for late next week, right now leaning towards rain - but colder temperatures could be close by.

  2. #2

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    Cold rain still on tap for Wednesday into Thursday. Best chances are SE half of OK. With heaviest concentration looking to be south central OK.

    Highs in the 40s for Thurs and Friday. Mild again by Saturday


  3. #3

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    OKC proper is just inside the Marginal Risk for severe tonight... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

    Click image for larger version. 

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  4. #4

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    I’m seeing Mon/Tue highs as 38 for OKC with 20% chance of mixed rain/snow on Mon, and Tue morning low of 23. This is from NOAA.

  5. #5

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    Yes did not want to really make any comments on that until after this storm coming through tonight. But yes, there is a chance of a storm coming through Monday into Tuesday. Winter precipitation for C OK still looks like a long shot, but the coldest temperatures of the season so far looks like a good bet.

  6. #6

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    Latest forecast from the NWS has a low of 20F for OKC on Monday Night. Not great for the first half of November.

    Weather is gorgeous out right now though at least lol. And the weekend looks very nice as well.

  7. #7

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    Looks like rain is done for okc metro. Got .2" compared to the 1-1/2" they were saying. Like they say a broken clock is right twice a day. Unbelievable

  8. #8
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    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    Quote Originally Posted by brian72 View Post
    Looks like rain is done for okc metro. Got .2" compared to the 1-1/2" they were saying. Like they say a broken clock is right twice a day. Unbelievable
    It's still raining in Stillwater with .82", so far. It may easily come within the 1 to 2" forecast. We'll see if you spoke too soon. It's still a developing situation.



  9. #9

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    Quote Originally Posted by brian72 View Post
    Looks like rain is done for okc metro. Got .2" compared to the 1-1/2" they were saying. Like they say a broken clock is right twice a day. Unbelievable
    What? Have you looked at radar? Or forecast? Its raining hard now in far north OKC and coming in plus filling in. Gonna rain a lot tonight yet.

    I got around .6 inch at my house so far.

  10. #10

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    Storms and cold bypass OKC. Am glad.

  11. #11

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    Quote Originally Posted by brian72 View Post
    Looks like rain is done for okc metro. Got .2" compared to the 1-1/2" they were saying. Like they say a broken clock is right twice a day. Unbelievable
    Its 4 ish in the morning and pouring down rain.....so, I'm thinking you are pessimistic.

  12. #12

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    Sorry, I was wrong.

  13. #13

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    Looks like most of the Metro picked up somewhere in the range of 0.25-0.75" of rain from the most recent event, which is fine I guess, but still not nearly as much as forecast, and it would have been nice to have a bigger rain event at the start of our traditional dry season (OKC averages less than 8" of rain between 11/1 and 2/28).

  14. #14

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    Cold front that will be arriving late tonight here in OK is currently blasting south through Nebraska. Our mild southerly winds will turn very cold from the north and will accompany cold rain showers. Overall precipitation amounts look very light for most of OK. Could get some sleet or freezing rain mixed in at the tail end later Monday evening.

    The main story will be after skies clear late Monday night and arctic air is fully filtered in. Lows across the state will be in the teens here in OKC to start Tuesday morning. Winds will still be decent from the north which will make windchills dangerous.

  15. #15

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    You've gotta say, even though this has been a terrible fall in general, at least most of our nice days have coincided with the weekend. Yesterday and especially today have both been perfect.

    Sort of the opposite of Spring 2018, which was not only terrible but also had most of the worst days coinciding with the weekend.

  16. #16

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    Certainly seems like (IMO) there's at least some risk of freezing drizzle or light freezing rain/sleet tomorrow mid-day. It may be marginal as to whether it can accrete on bridges and overpasses, but I'd at least use some caution given the possibility.

  17. #17

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    Short range models have increased precipitation for Monday afternoon into evening. Like mentioned by LokoAko, bridges will be the focus.


  18. #18

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    Some freezing drizzle out there now, but radar is not very impressive for anything substantial at this time. May get a few more blips toward lunchtime, but dangerous windchills will be the name of the game.

  19. #19

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    Roads were pretty much fine today, but man is it cold out. I somewhat unironically love how this city can have perfect weather and the worst weather in the entire world literally on back to back days.

  20. #20
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    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    NWS predicts we’ll break over 300 cold-weather records across US this week
    https://cbs4indy.com/2019/11/11/data...-us-this-week/

  21. #21
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    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    The Oklahoma City NOAA weather is out of service. Hopefully, it will be back on soon.

  22. #22
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    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    Quote Originally Posted by SEMIweather View Post
    Roads were pretty much fine today, but man is it cold out. I somewhat unironically love how this city can have perfect weather and the worst weather in the entire world literally on back to back days.
    Really, here it was up to 76 one day and the next day down to 20.

  23. #23

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    Damon Lane has doubled down on a “slightly above average” winter temperature prediction yesterday. Seems like these guys struggle forecast winter weather a few days in advance let alone a long range forecast like that. What do you guys think? Warmer winter than average in store for us or is it bs?

  24. #24

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    Climate Prediction Center is forecasting above-average temperatures for December and January but obviously anytime you're more than 7-10 days out it's somewhat of a crapshoot. One thing that does look fairly safe to say is that we are not going to see any major cold snaps like the one we just had over the next week or two.

  25. #25

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - November 2019

    Beautiful weather continues into this week. Looks like rain chances return Wednesday evening with a piece of a storm system coming out of the west. Then the main storm comes through by Friday and may bring more rain.

    Looking ahead to Thanksgiving, there may be a storm in the area that will bear watching for now.

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