Is the Cool side of the boundary killing the Tornados from fully developing? 55 degress in Elk city that's crazy
Umm, Yes. One order of a line of storms please. Appreciate it.
Is it time to pull out the B card yet? If this were an analogy it would probably be the soccer referee who has grabbed the card in his shirt pocket, but isn't ready to flash it just yet!
As of right now, this has “boy who cried wolf” written all over it.
I assume you mean for the metro.....there are wolves all over the place elsewhere.
Its still early for OKC so get yer snacks out gonna be a long night this goes til 4am so 11 more hours. Too early to call it a ball vs strike imo
You're right, this could still be something, but considering the language used by pretty much everyone leading up to today, it's largely underperformed. The language they've used was equal or similar to the 4/27/11 storm and by this point in the day they already had several EF3/4/5s on the ground (simultaneously I might add). We'll see what happens between now and 8pm.
The cloud cover today helped the metro. Very much so. May get some rain, but thankfully there was no sun today to warm us up.
So ridiculous!!! so much panicking and nothing happening. Unreal!!!!!
I felt a raindrop! I felt a raindrop! In Edmond!
Cant win them all. For whatever reason, south central couldn't get going. Cap appeared to build back in. There was one storm that did get going that produce tornado and these western storms are still producing . So half bust. It should evolve into a squall line event and that may have smaller embedded tornados and wind threat.
Of course, crybabies are going to cry hype but meteorologist called it how they saw it
If people ever understand the concept behind risks and percentages, they will stop demanding “it’s gonna be an F4 at 5:45 across May and NW 50th” and “it’s gonna be absolutely nothing” forecasts.
If you want certainties, stay away from weather forecasts, considering that everything impacts them and can change the potentials with every run of the forecast. All they can do is communicate the risk, they can’t help that after how many years with the NWS in our backyard people still don’t understand that a 90% risk doesn’t mean anything is gonna happen.
One of the earlier SPC outlooks talked about seeing MLCAPE values in the 4,500 range. That's high, but not stratospheric. I recall storm scenarios where we saw a *lot* higher CAPE numbers, like in the 6k area. That may relate back to.unexpected cap strength.
I have no problem with the predictions of today the data showed it to be a highest risk potential. Just like you can’t predict exact location a tornado will hit the system can evolve and change. So I fully support todays dire predictions.
The problem is they over cover smaller storms all spring long and cut into tv when its just a thunderstorm. Thats why people complain about a dud is all the prior overkill. These stations spend mega bucks on coverage with helicopters and trackers and fancy radars and have to justify it. So they over cover non events and it wears people out where they get numbed. But today was 100% justified even if it fizzles out.
Whats bad is all the rookie chasers clogging roads. Had there been many tornadoes it would have got ugly with chasers trapped.
The warm front has turned back into a cold front. It swept thru Surrey Hills far NW OKC about 10 minutes ago and the temp dropped a good 10 degrees. That’ll kill off most of the tornado threat.
*lives in one of the most unpredictable parts of the entire world as relates to weather*
WHY CANT YOU GUYS GET THIS RIGHT, INSTEAD YOU SEND EVERYONE INTO PANICS
It’s hard. And there’s millions of factors.
The storms around Altus still look pretty nasty
First world problems. Pretty much everyone has access to instant information and they probably seeked out the hyped up the reports that their now complaining about now.
When I was a kid in 99. My mom and I got out of a movie and didnt really expect a huge tornado heading towards moore. I looked backed at historical outlooks and they were showing a slight risk morning of. Luckily, we have advance to the point where we can probably see events like May 3rd days away.
No way anyone can justify the scare tactics. This is out of control.
You underestimate people’s capabilities to understand probability and statistics. For instance, they released a 45% probability of seeing a tornado within a 20 mile radius around any specific point within that polygon. That polygon was probably 40% of the state. So 40% of the state had slightly less than a coin flip to see a tornado within 20 miles of their doors. How many tornadoes where there today so far? So 38% of the state is that unlucky? Stay away from the casinos for a while Oklahoma! What that tells me is that the meteorologists missed something today. Where all the ingredients there for a major outbreak? Yes. Could there still be tornadoes? Yes. Was the forecast overblown? Yes. Hindsight is always 20/20. BUT the amount of hype was off the charts for this event, and it fizzled...to this point. Schools closed. Businesses closed. The state essentially shut down. How much money was lost because of this? I understand that we’re all better off safe than sorry. We’ve seen what happens when we’re not. However, if you start to erode the credibility of our meteorologists, you have that “boy who cried wolf “ scenario. All that being said, meteorologists have an incredibly tough job. Predicting the outcome of such a dynamic system is so incredibly tough! There are so many judgment calls to make. I just wish that we wouldn’t overdo it with all of the hyperbole. It only freaks people out.
David Payne will be on the Flood Warning now and straight line winds (should've been all along). They can land a Man on the Moon, but they can't tell that Colder air was going to push through? We have some crappy Weather models out there.
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