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Thread: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

  1. Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    Quote Originally Posted by SoonerDave View Post
    SPC release indicates a PDS watch will be issued between 1-2pm due to very early stages of development in southern Oklahoma.
    One has been issued now for the southern TX Panhandle down to Lubbock and then east - all to the SW of OK so far.

  2. #152

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    Friendly Reminder: around 700 Oklahomans die every year in car crashes. 281 Oklahomans died in tornadoes during the 60 year period of 1950-2010. Assuming 2019 is average for car deaths, we've already lost more Oklahomans to car crashes in the 6 months of 2019 than we in the aforementioned 60 YEAR period.

  3. #153

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    Quote Originally Posted by bchris02 View Post
    Terminology like "life-altering, catastrophic tornadoes" is being thrown out.

    This does look like an absolute worst-case scenario for OKC.
    Until storms start proving themselves, I'm more concerned about the potential for flooding in the state. The ground is saturated and can't deal with heavy downpours.

    Really, the situation isn't worth worrying much about until a tornado warning is issued for your county. Then worry to death and if religious pray for protection.

  4. #154

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    We don't want people stuck in their cars in these supercells. People should be heading home by 3 if they can.

  5. #155

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    State closed up at 1:00 pm in the metro.

  6. #156

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    From NWS Norman:
    12:39 pm - our latest weather balloon data shows the cap is pretty much gone over central Oklahoma. We are starting to see very early signs of storm development in several areas. Storms will get bad quickly. Stay alert!

  7. #157

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    The Ch 25 met says these storms will spin up out of nowhere and the forecast is even worse than what was predicted earlier. Mentioned something about sending the weather balloons up earlier and they came back with bad news.

  8. #158

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    is there going to be a chat?

  9. #159

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    Quote Originally Posted by Bellaboo View Post
    State closed up at 1:00 pm in the metro.
    OKCPS told all staff they were locking the doors at 12:00 and everyone had to be out of the buildings.

  10. #160

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    https://twitter.com/NWSSPC/status/1130542973060562946

    PDS Tornado Watch # 199 is coming for Oklahoma. This is only the second watch in SPC history where every category of watch probabilities (torn, wind, hail) are at greater than 95%.

    The only other watch like this was issued for Alabama on 27 April 2011.
    Not good.

  11. #161

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    https://chatroll.com/embed/chat/wxst...tuff-live-chat If anyone is looking for the chat.

  12. Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    Quote Originally Posted by SomeGuy View Post
    I'm getting a message that the event is full?

  13. #163

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    Can someone share a good live radar link - the mesonet site seems bogged down.

    TIA!

  14. #164

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    Quote Originally Posted by Bits_Of_Real_Panther View Post
    Can someone share a good live radar link - the mesonet site seems bogged down.

    TIA!
    https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?...101111&loop=no

  15. #165

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    Is OKC going to be spared? I know there is a while to go, but there is nothing to show OKC getting hit by anything as of now. Are those storms in Texas going to move east?

  16. #166

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    Quote Originally Posted by SomeGuy View Post
    Then animated one is here: https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/rada...oop=yeshttp://

  17. #167

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    TORNADO WATCH

    Areas Affected:
    Atoka - Beckham - Blaine - Bryan - Caddo - Canadian - Carter - Cleveland - Coal - Comanche - Cotton - Creek - Custer - Dewey - Garfield - Garvin - Grady - Greer - Harmon - Hughes - Jackson - Jefferson - Johnston - Kingfisher - Kiowa - Lincoln - Logan - Love - Major - Marshall - McClain - Murray - Noble - Okfuskee - Oklahoma - Okmulgee - Osage - Pawnee - Payne - Pontotoc - Pottawatomie - Roger Mills - Seminole - Stephens - Tillman - Tulsa - Washi ta
    Effective: Mon, 5/20 1:35pm Updated: Mon, 5/20 2:46pm Urgency: Expected
    Expires: Mon, 5/20 10:00pm Severity: Severe Certainty: Likely

    Details:

    TORNADO WATCH 199 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR THE
    FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
    OK
    . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    ATOKA BECKHAM BLAINE
    BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN
    CARTER CLEVELAND COAL
    COMANCHE COTTON CREEK
    CUSTER DEWEY GARFIELD
    GARVIN GRADY GREER
    HARMON HUGHES JACKSON
    JEFFERSON JOHNSTON KINGFISHER
    KIOWA LINCOLN LOGAN
    LOVE MAJOR MARSHALL
    MCCLAIN MURRAY NOBLE
    OKFUSKEE OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE
    OSAGE PAWNEE PAYNE
    PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS
    SEMINOLE STEPHENS TILLMAN
    TULSA WASHI TA

  18. #168

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    Quote Originally Posted by jonny d View Post
    Is OKC going to be spared? I know there is a while to go, but there is nothing to show OKC getting hit by anything as of now. Are those storms in Texas going to move east?
    Everything is drifting east. OKC threat may be later this afternoon. Its only about 3.

  19. #169

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    Quote Originally Posted by jn1780 View Post
    Everything is drifting east. OKC threat may be later this afternoon. Its only about 3.
    I wasn't questioning anyone on here. I am very amateur at this, and saw nothing (as of yet) troubling. But I also knew there was a long way to go.

  20. #170

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    Not a threat to OKC proper, but channel 9 has eyes on a weak tornado NE of Okarche, heading NNE.

  21. #171

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    Here is an updated snapshot forecast of around 7-8 pm. We should see a defined cluster or line of supercells marching ENE into C OK. Some indication of some storms lining out and becoming less dangerous, but there may (likely) still be very dangerous supercells established within the cluster. Also somewhere potentially just W/NW of OKC area we could see a cell or two that rides along a triple point boundary that may actually alter the boundary itself if it can get established. Wind profiles just after dark look pretty ideal for surface based spin across basically all of W and C OK.

    This is a full nowcast situation and you should tune into the NWS and local TV stations for information.


  22. #172

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    Severe activity seems to be staying N and W of the metro. Is OKC out of the woods on this event?

  23. #173

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    New MD is out confirming latest model guidance. Development ahead of dryline looking less likely and this will be a sunset showdown across C OK with a line of supercells.

  24. #174

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    Quote Originally Posted by Anonymous. View Post
    New MD is out confirming latest model guidance. Development ahead of dryline looking less likely and this will be a sunset showdown across C OK with a line of supercells.
    Does this mean late night rumblings for OKC?

  25. #175

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - May 2019

    I think for us in OKC that we have dodged a bullet. At least that's what it feels like from listening to all the hype. And that's fine with me.

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