General Weather Discussion - December, 2015

[SoonerDave]

But.....I just sat through the 10pm weather that did announce this storm.............but they arent saying for sure weather its spring like weather or snow....just that its coming........

To be frank, that's about the only thing you can say with even a modest amount of certainty this far out...something's probably coming. Don't forget, these models might change their mind

[Bobby821]

Here was the statement from the NWS latest forecast this morning on this next weekends storm.

FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND...A STORM SYSTEM MAY IMPACT THE AREA AND
BRING MUCH HIGHER PRECIPITATION CHANCES. THE DETAILS WITH THIS
SYSTEM REMAIN UNCERTAIN...BUT SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION
COULD OCCUR.

Boy the excitement builds waiting for this storm system to make up it's mind on what it is going to dump on us, Winter or Storms this is almost as exciting as waiting for Christmas morning.

[SoonerDave]

Here was the statement from the NWS latest forecast this morning on this next weekends storm.

FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND...A STORM SYSTEM MAY IMPACT THE AREA AND
BRING MUCH HIGHER PRECIPITATION CHANCES. THE DETAILS WITH THIS
SYSTEM REMAIN UNCERTAIN...BUT SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION
COULD OCCUR.

Boy the excitement builds waiting for this storm system to make up it's mind on what it is going to dump on us, Winter or Storms this is almost as exciting as waiting for Christmas morning.

Need a combined "Fraidy Hole/Bread and Milk" warning LOL

[Bobby821]

Need a combined "Fraidy Hole/Bread and Milk" warning LOL

Good idea should put that out a few days ahead to cover all bases.

[Jim Kyle]

Long long ago in a city that's now gone forever, I was the rewrite man and general go-to-guy for the largest metropolitan newspaper. Its management decided to expand the coverage base beyond the state borders, by printing a Sunday edition that would go to press in the wee hours of Saturday morning so that it could be shipped by rail to distant states and appear on newsstands on Sunday.

I was given the job of putting that entire edition together, working overnight from sunset Friday to dawn Saturday. The task included writing a weather report about Saturday's conditions statewide, which would go to press before those conditions arrived.

My first effort read "Saturday was warm and clear except where cold and cloudy, dry except where rainy, and windy except where calm."

Management was not amused. However you're free to adopt the idea for needs here, should you so desire....

[Bobby821]

Any new info on the storm for the weekend of the 26-28th?

[OKCisOK4me]

Any new info on the storm for the weekend of the 26-28th?

I'm waiting for you to post it and be all giddy about it...

[okatty]

^ haha...isn't that the truth!!!

[Anonymous.]

New data loading in this evening, will have an update later tonight.

[bchris02]

I'm waiting for you to post it and be all giddy about it...

Yeah! Power outages and downed trees! I'm SO EXCITED!!!!!

[bchris02]

On a serious note, Damon Lane is predicting above average temperatures for the next two weeks.

Oklahoma: It just can't cool down... | Oklahoma City - OKC - KOCO.com

I am all for a good snowstorm but really don't want ice. Hopefully this means the 26th-27th storm will be liquid.

[LocoAko]

There's been a lot of run-to-run variability, but some of the solutions the models are showing are a little ridiculous snow-wise. Depending on how you calculate snowfall (not a trivial thing to do from a model, lots of methods for doing so exist) at least the GFS is showing anywhere from 9 - 15" in the metro. I wouldn't say this solution is likely and it's still a week out, but it's definitely something to watch this week, at least:

[okatty]

^Cleanup on Aisle 7, Bobby just peed his pants.

[Bobby821]

^Cleanup on Aisle 7, Bobby just peed his pants.

Seriously, Please stop with the comments about me.

[okatty]

Seriously, Please stop with the comments about me.

OK. Your excitement over bad weather begs comment but all you gotta do is ask.

[Ginkasa]

OK. Your excitement over bad weather begs comment but all you gotta do is ask.

"Hey bro, its really up to you to ask me to be a decent person and not make fun of you."

[okatty]

Well don't cheer for catastrophic weather like tornadoes, hail, thunder storms, ice, blizzards, etc and things will trend to more to "decent" if that is how you define it. Geez.

[LakeEffect]

Well don't cheer for catastrophic weather like tornadoes, hail, thunder storms, ice, blizzards, etc and things will trend to more to "decent" if that is how you define it. Geez.

If you don't like what a person posts, you can just put them on ignore and not worry about it. Being a bully isn't the correct way to handle things.

[okatty]

I wasn't being a bully. Period.

[sayyes]

I would love a snowstorm then. I don't have to go back to work until it is most likely melting off and it would give me a great excuse to drink beer and watch bowl games. Bring it on!

[ljbab728]

I would love a snowstorm then. I don't have to go back to work until it is most likely melting off and it would give me a great excuse to drink beer and watch bowl games. Bring it on!

Do people actually have to have an excuse to drink beer and watch bowl games?

[Achilleslastand]

Would love nothing more than a good milk and bread snowstorm. Ice however I am done with for another 8 years.

[Anonymous.]

Models still keeping strong storm for the weekend. Each run is consistent enough to pretty much say something will fall from the sky, and temperatures will fall in the area.

Track of the low is pretty much all over the place with no true consistency. The run Loco posted above shows heavy snow in eastern OK, and the very next run from tonight shows the same snow in the TX panhandle.

This will keep bouncing around until we get some better consistency about middle week. As of now, this system does have a look of major snowstorm for someone in the southern plains.

[OKCisOK4me]

Local forecasts have varied from the low pressure system being further north (last night's forecast) to mixed precipitation on Monday (this morning's forecast) and it will keep changing.

[Bobby821]

NWS Thinking on the storm at this point.

CHRISTMAS DAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR A STORM
SYSTEM THAT WILL LIKELY AFFECT THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE NATION.
MOST MODEL GUIDANCE NOW DEPICT THAT A CLOSED MID/UPPER LOW WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE NATION. THIS SOLUTION WOULD
BE MORE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND
NORTH TEXAS. EXACT TIMING...LOCATION...AND PRECIPITATION TYPES
REMAIN VERY UNCERTAIN. A WIDE VARIETY OF WEATHER RANGING FROM
STRONG STORMS TO HEAVY RAIN/FLOODING TO ACCUMULATING WINTRY
PRECIPITATION COULD OCCUR ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. FOR
NOW...WENT WITH THUNDERSTORM MENTION LATE ON CHRISTMAS DAY
TRANSITIONING TO A RAIN AND SNOW MIX SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HALF OF OKLAHOMA. THE AMOUNT OF AVAILABLE
MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM SEEMS TO BE ANOMOLOUSLY HIGH.

THIS STORM SYSTEM MAY HAVE SIGNFICANT IMPACTS TO THE AREA. IT IS
ADVISED TO PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE LATEST FORECASTS.