December 2022 - General Weather Discussion

[rjstone208]

Thanks. Wealth of info.

[SEMIweather]

Definitely interested in the potential for winter weather around the 12/19-12/22 timeframe. Long way out but the pattern looks favorable.

[LakeEffect]

Thanks. Wealth of info.

Oklahomans are blessed with this magnificent resource. Other states are starting to do their own - it's really amazing all states don't already have something like this. Then again, it takes $$$.

[FighttheGoodFight]

Definitely interested in the potential for winter weather around the 12/19-12/22 timeframe. Long way out but the pattern looks favorable.

Oh no, the Hanukkah winter storm approaches.

[Bill Robertson]

Oh no, the Hanukkah winter storm approaches.

I'm watching each GFS run praying that the ones that show little snow are closer to right.

[kukblue1]

Definitely interested in the potential for winter weather around the 12/19-12/22 timeframe. Long way out but the pattern looks favorable.

Let's focus on the severe weather Monday night Dec 12 first?

[SEMIweather]

The rapid oscillations between dense fog and clear skies this evening have been absolutely fascinating.

[brunnesa]

Let's focus on the severe weather Monday night Dec 12 first?

Looks like the SPC has dropped the Day 4 15% enhanced risk for the OKC area. The reason is the storms should remain elevated and probably just be a little wind and hail. Also, the timing is a little off for significant severe weather as it looks like this will come through the metro around 6 A.M on Tuesday.

[C_M_25]

I’m loving this rain. Now that the ground has been pretty well saturated, this heavy rain should run off and start to refill the many ponds and lakes that are badly needing it…hopefully.

[Anonymous.]

SPC has expanded the Slight Risk area for tonight to include SW and C OK (previously was NW OK only).

Main threat will be straight-line-winds as storms are expected to develop across W OK and form a line that moves W to E.

[BG918]

Another round of rainfall across a good swath of the state late Monday into Tuesday. GFS model forecasted totals below. These rain events have been great for the drought situation, hopefully they continue.

Unfortunately the Panhandle is left out again with some areas around Boise City going over two months without any moisture. The blob in Colorado is a blizzard that will have major impacts there, and could affect Denver and especially the airport if the track moves slightly further south. Heads up for anyone flying that way.

[C_M_25]

Looks like the risk of tornadoes is basically none? What about hail?

[LakeEffect]

Looks like the risk of tornadoes is basically none? What about hail?

A tiny % probability of hail west of OKC... biggest threat overall is straight line winds.

[Bill Robertson]

A tiny % probability of hail west of OKC... biggest threat overall is straight line winds.

I agree. But we're still pulling my car inside and leaving the wife's Jeep outside tonight.

[Anonymous.]

Multiple tornado reports very early this morning across S and SE OK. This has calmed down some, but the Ft Worth - Dallas area is under the gun now. Quite the potent line of storms.

For rest of today it will be mild and windy, should see sunshine build in. Then the cold air spills in behind this system tonight and will keep the remainder of the week cold with highs in 40s, lows in 20s.

[BG918]

This is the first month since June the majority of the state is well-above normal for precipitation. Great news heading into typically-drier January and February.


The models are showing a continuous period of cold temperatures for the next 2 weeks. Looks like snow chances return around 12/22 followed by an Arctic air mass.

[bucktalk]

17 degrees for the high on the 22nd??? Oh my!!

[midtownokcer]

17 degrees for the high on the 22nd??? Oh my!!

Still a long ways away meteorologically speaking, but Mike is already posting single digit highs near Christmas.

[FighttheGoodFight]

Still a long ways away meteorologically speaking, but Mike is already posting single digit highs near Christmas.

He is investing in milk and bread stock. Smart man.

[kukblue1]

50% percent chance of precipitation with a high of only 6. It's hard enough to get snow in Oklahoma probably really hard to get snow in Oklahoma and only 6 degrees.

[Bunty]

Still a long ways away meteorologically speaking, but Mike is already posting single digit highs near Christmas.

But I think Morgan is usually wrong with his high drama forecasting when done more than a week away. But with climate change, you never know for sure how extreme winter weather will get. I don't think I've heard of cold fronts coming from Siberia. Maybe Russia needs to thank us for taking their frigid air.

[BoulderSooner]

Still a long ways away meteorologically speaking, but Mike is already posting single digit highs near Christmas.

the promoted long term KFOR forecast has 59 Wednesday 28 Thursday 35 Friday and 34 on Saturday ..

[Sydonesia]

But I think Morgan is usually wrong with his high drama forecasting when done more than a week away. But with climate change, you never know for sure how extreme winter weather will get. I don't think I've heard of cold fronts coming from Siberia. Maybe Russia needs to thank us for taking their frigid air.

Mike does this all the time. It's funny looking at the 7+4 days from Emily or Jon in the mornings and then seeing Mike's forecast in the evening not even slightly resemble theirs. They'd be predicting upper 90s all summer and then he'd come in predicting temperatures 10 degrees higher 9-10 days out. And then come back to reality days later.

But it's getting us talking, so it's clearly working.

[BG918]

Mike does this all the time. It's funny looking at the 7+4 days from Emily or Jon in the mornings and then seeing Mike's forecast in the evening not even slightly resemble theirs. They'd be predicting upper 90s all summer and then he'd come in predicting temperatures 10 degrees higher 9-10 days out. And then come back to reality days later.

But it's getting us talking, so it's clearly working.

Mike is the ultimate Hype Man. "Our chances for a white Christmas...talking about the totals and how it could affect your Christmas travel at 10" or "discussing the potential for an historic tornado outbreak in central Oklahoma...make sure you watch at 10 to know which areas are in the danger zone"

[jn1780]

So far it looks like it will just be extremely cold next week. Just small chances of winter weather.