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Thread: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

  1. #1

    Default General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    Time for the late summer thread.

    Glorious light rain, with pockets of moderate rain is draped all across the state this morning. This should move out of C OK by about 11am. Cloud cover will keep temperatures from reaching much more than low 80s.

    Temperatures may not break 90 for the rest of the week. But will be close on Thursday. In which Thursday night will be the next decent shot at rain.

    The weekend looks fantastic with partly cloudy skies and highs in the upper 80s.


    The following week, the cooler trend looks to continue with the added signs of some potential significant rain. Will keep you updated.



    Enjoy this awesome weather during what is normally OK's peak summer highs.

  2. #2

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    Today, Thursday, will be the hottest day in a while and [likely for a while]. Air quality alert in effect for OKC with high humidity. Storms will develop this evening and overnight in northern OK and spread south and east. Short-range models put heaviest rain somewhere across C OK, favoring the NE sides. Localized heavy rain will fall where heavier storm clusters pass.

    Temperatures for Friday look amazing with highs once again in the low-to-mid 80s.

    The weekend looks like mid-to-upper 80s with another good shot @ storms Saturday night into Sunday morning.


    Looking ahead to next week, temperatures are still maintaining highs in the mid 80s with rain chances increasing. There is still bullish signs of potentially significant rain as we head through next week. This could raise some potential concern for flooding if we get generous amounts over the same localized areas.

  3. Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    Quote Originally Posted by Anonymous. View Post
    Today, Thursday, will be the hottest day in a while and [likely for a while]. Air quality alert in effect for OKC with high humidity. Storms will develop this evening and overnight in northern OK and spread south and east. Short-range models put heaviest rain somewhere across C OK, favoring the NE sides. Localized heavy rain will fall where heavier storm clusters pass.

    Temperatures for Friday look amazing with highs once again in the low-to-mid 80s.

    The weekend looks like mid-to-upper 80s with another good shot @ storms Satruday night into Sunday morning.


    Looking ahead to next week, temperatures are still maintaining highs in the mid 80s with rain chances increasing. There is still bullish signs of potentially significant rain as we head through next week. This could raise some potential concern for flooding if we get generous amounts over the same localized areas.
    Rain yay! Mid-80s yay!

  4. #4

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    Severe Thunderstorm Watch for NW OK. Storms are firing up there and will slide southeast this evening. More storms will fire off in western OK and most of the state should see rain tonight. Heaviest amounts look to be in NE OK.


  5. #5

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017


  6. #6

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    They are now saying an EF2 tornado hit part of midtown Tulsa early Sunday morning. No official warning (and no sirens), lucky no one died but there are lots of injuries.

  7. #7

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    Next rain chances move in tomorrow night. And better chances Thursday night into Friday.

    Models are all over the place with where the heaviest rain will fall, but NE OK is looking to be favored over the long haul.

    As far as temperatures, Wednesday and Thursday we will make a run back toward 90F, but that is still below average for this time of year. The current trend of these highs in the 80s continues as we go through the weekend and even into next week. Looking ahead in the long-range, rain chances and lower temperatures may persist through at least mid-August.

  8. #8

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    Decent drink for parts of the center of the state overnight Wednesday with amounts ranging from a quarter inch to as much as 3 inches over areas just SW of OKC.

    SPC has expanded tonight's risk for severe weather across most of the N half of OK. Primary threat will be strong wind (potentially damaging via bow echo) with an MCS that develops out of KS and pushes south and east overnight.





  9. #9

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    MD out already for western half of OK. Storms are already formed and will continue to build as they race out of NW OK this afternoon. Short range models are showing this first wave to hit C OK around 5pm. Damaging winds and hail are likely scenarios. These will be quick moving and rush out for the evening hours. Then a second round will be building back to the NW that will likely be a large MCS with damaging winds that will take a very similar path.

    Flash flooding threat is increasing for most of NW, W, and C OK. We should see a Severe Thunderstorm Watch over the area soon.


  10. #10

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    This first complex is really moving. Currently severe with hail larger than golfballs and damaging winds - approaching the metro from the NW. This will impact OKC in the next hour.

  11. #11

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    Quote Originally Posted by BG918 View Post
    They are now saying an EF2 tornado hit part of midtown Tulsa early Sunday morning. No official warning (and no sirens), lucky no one died but there are lots of injuries.
    Engineers to assess whether Remington Tower is at risk of collapse after direct hit from tornado, insurance expert says.

    “We know the building twisted; we know the building is designed to twist, but did it twist more than it was designed for?” Sharpe said. “That’s the biggest question.”
    http://www.tulsaworld.com/news/local...53ddf41ac.html

  12. #12

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    …FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING…

    The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a

    * Flood Watch for flash flooding…flooding of creeks and
    rivers…and flooding of low lying areas for portions of
    central Oklahoma, east central Oklahoma, northern Oklahoma,
    northwest Oklahoma, southeast Oklahoma, southern Oklahoma,
    southwest Oklahoma, and western Oklahoma, including the
    following areas, in central Oklahoma, Canadian, Cleveland,
    Grady, Kingfisher, Lincoln, Logan, McClain, Oklahoma, Payne,
    and Pottawatomie. In east central Oklahoma, Pontotoc and
    Seminole. In northern Oklahoma, Garfield, Grant, Kay, and
    Noble. In northwest Oklahoma, Alfalfa, Blaine, Dewey, Ellis,
    Harper, Major, Woods, and Woodward. In southeast Oklahoma,
    Atoka, Bryan, Coal, Hughes, Johnston, and Marshall. In
    southern Oklahoma, Carter, Garvin, Jefferson, Love, Murray,
    and Stephens. In southwest Oklahoma, Caddo, Comanche, Cotton,
    Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Kiowa, and Tillman. In western
    Oklahoma, Beckham, Custer, Roger Mills, and Wa****a.

    * Through Sunday morning

    * Several rounds of thunderstorm complexes, beginning this morning
    and occurring at times through early Sunday will result in
    excessive rainfall accumulations across the area. Multi-day
    rainfall amounts between now and Sunday could total between 3 to
    5 inches across a large portion of central and western
    Oklahoma, with locally higher amounts possible.

    Precautionary/preparedness actions…

    A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
    current forecasts.

    You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
    Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
    prepared to take action should flooding develop.

  13. #13

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    More rain is coming.

    Rain and storms will develop out in NW OK later this evening and move SE toward C OK into the late night hours and into Saturday morning.

    After that, a big wave comes through Saturday evening and likely causes flash flooding.

    Sunday night into Monday an (appearing to be) even heavier round comes through from the west once again.


    Models are all over the place on placement of the heaviest rain. But a general consensus of an additional 2-4" after this weekend is likely somewhere across a large portion of the state. Virtually the entire state will see rain this weekend @ some point. Localized flash flooding is likely in areas where heavier thunderstorms train.

  14. #14

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    Looks like from about I-40 and south will be the corridor of the heaviest rainfall. Heavy storms developing in the large pocket of rain down in SW OK, these will continue to ride up north and east. Localized flash flooding will be main threat. Enjoy this beautiful rainfall! We need this.

  15. #15

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    Huge rain and storm complex down in SW OK will be swinging up into S and C OK overnight. It will weaken as it does, but still expect a wet sunrise. Flash flooding will be main threat.

  16. #16

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    Here is the rain totals from the last handful of days. Western OK coming out as winners so far, and basically Lake Eufaula.

    More rain chances this week, next big shot being Wednesday night. Below average temperatures all week, highs will stay in the low 90s.


  17. #17

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    We could see a couple storms develop just SW of OKC this afternoon and push over the area. Weak disturbance still lifting north and the air is very unstable.

  18. Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    To bad the Pop-ins OKC umbrella sharing program never went anywhere. Could have used one downtown today.

  19. #19

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    Had an inch of rain at my house in about 10 minutes.

  20. #20

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    Same goes for my place in The Village! I made a few videos and posted them to my FB--vulgar language included, simply because it was...that VULGAR...

  21. #21

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    Severe storm threat going up for this evening. Instability will build all day. Then a line of storms should develop from NC OK down toward SW OK. Putting most of C and N OK under the gun.

    Flash flooding and a low chance of large hail are main threats. Looks like Thursday night will be another good shot @ storms over the same areas, as a cluster of storms should form in SW KS and fly south and east.


  22. #22

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    Here is our August rainfall map so far. Any other time, if you told me this was for August, I would call you a liar.


  23. #23

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    Makes me wonder if we will end up with a high wildfire danger in the fall/early winter.

  24. #24

    Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    With all this rain, our neighborhood yards are being inundated with mushrooms. Yuck. Any sneaky trick to getting rid of them??

  25. Default Re: General Weather Discussion - August & September 2017

    Quote Originally Posted by SoonerDave View Post
    With all this rain, our neighborhood yards are being inundated with mushrooms. Yuck. Any sneaky trick to getting rid of them??
    They're pretty good in a stir fry. (Not really, just in case anyone took me seriously. Don't be eating them!)

    Try and catch them early and pluck them and put them in the garbage. Don't just toss them back in the yard or you'll spread them even more.

    Used to have quite a few in my yard but now just get the occasional one popping up.

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