Population Growth for OKC

[gopokes88]

FWIW, the state unemployment rate in November was 4.2%, and the OKC Metro unemployment rate was 3.6%. Both of those are with record high numbers of people in the labor forces, so that shows a very healthy employment situation. The highest the metro unemployment rate got during the oil crunch was 4.3% and for the state it was 5%. Both of those are still very good numbers.

Sooooooooooo

You’re saying it’s not all doom and gloom like this thread says it is?

[OKCRT]

Lock em up and throw away the key. That's one way to keep them from leaving the state.

Or lets have the cops/highway patrol stop cars randomly on our state highways and and confiscate folks money and make them prove it's legal. Now that a sure fire way to keep people away.

Just a couple of things this state does to make people feel welcome. All in the name of God I suppose.

But not to worry. Oil and Gas will rebound and people will filter in to replace the ones we lose.

[LocoAko]

From Shane Hampton (https://twitter.com/shanehamp/status/946478747162742786, https://twitter.com/shanehamp/status/946478749083668481, and https://twitter.com/shanehamp/status...751482896386):

Looking at new Census estimates for Oklahoma, and it's not looking good. The state was growing about 30,000 per year for first half of decade, but only gained 9,000 last year. And it's trending worse.



Looking at "Natural Increase" (Births minus Deaths) shows that the number of deaths is increasing while births are stagnant. Probably reflecting our aging (and as we also know, unhealthy) population.



Looking at Net Migration, international migration into Oklahoma actually increased. But on the domestic side- moves to and from other states- 10,500 more people moved out than in last year. Probably reflecting our rough economy (and as we also know, struggling quality of life).

[Bunty]

Career Tech is a highly valuable part of education in Oklahoma legislators should never cut. The Career Tech in Stillwater has helped Asco Aerospace get started by training workers. One of the most valuable economic resources an Oklahoma town can have is a Career Tech.

CAREERTECH: A key player in Oklahoma’s economic development, growth http://www.stwnewspress.com/news/local_columnists/careertech-a-key-player-in-oklahoma-s-economic-development-growth/article_5805135a-400 a-521c-8bcf-e37eb3647cf0.html

[KayneMo]

Population diagram I made for the state using 2016 estimates:
There are 19 metropolitan counties, 17 micropolitan counties, and 41 rural counties.

[Urbanized]

That’s so cool!

[Jake]

You should post that on r/DataIsBeautiful on reddit!

[Bunty]

If all goes well, Oklahoma will gain at least one metro in 2020 with that being Stillwater.

[KayneMo]

That’s so cool!

Thanks!

You should post that on r/DataIsBeautiful on reddit!

Thanks for the suggestion, just did!

[OkiePoke]

Thanks!



Thanks for the suggestion, just did!

Now I know your username!

[KayneMo]

Census estimates for July 2017 are out for counties and, therefore, metropolitan areas!

OKC at 1,384,485 - an increase of 11,274 from July 2016.
Tulsa at 990,442 - an increase of 3,241 from July 2016.

Oklahoma County itself added more (+3,750) than the Tulsa metro did overall.

27 of the state's 77 counties posted growth. All of metro OKC's 7 counties posted growth, while 4 of metro Tulsa's 7 counties posted growth.

Dallas-Fort Worth continues to lead in numerical growth with an increase of 146,238 from July 2016.

[cinnamonjock]

Is 27 out of 77 normal? Because that seems low to me

[catch22]

Very good numbers. Is that MSA or CSA?

[Urbanized]

Tulsa metro tipping very close to a million now. That’s good news for them - and by extension the rest of the state - when they get there.

[catch22]

Is 27 out of 77 normal? Because that seems low to me

Rural is decreasing, an ongoing trend across the country. Technology improvements drive a need for fewer farm workers.

[Urbanized]

Is 27 out of 77 normal? Because that seems low to me

It’s the new normal that has established itself over the past couple of decades. Rural - truly rural, not suburban - populations are shrinking all over the U.S.

[Pete]

Looks like a little less than 1% in the last year or about 8% when you extrapolate for a decade. That's not so hot.

Only about 3% for Tulsa if you project for 10 years.

[GaryOKC6]

We are showing 1.4% www.greateroklahomacity.com/forecast . The long term outlook is that the metro will add 600,000 new residents over the next 22 years.

[Pete]

^

Here is that population projection from the Chamber:

[dcsooner]

We are showing 1.4% www.greateroklahomacity.com/forecast . The long term outlook is that the metro will add 600,000 new residents over the next 22 years.

This is a very optimistic projection not supported by historical evidence of sustained growth.

[KayneMo]

Very good numbers. Is that MSA or CSA?

MSA.

OKC CSA at 1,455,963.
Tulsa CSA at 1,160,348.

Just realized I forgot to take into account the estimate changes to the 2016 numbers, so the corrected estimate for OKC MSA is 1,383,737 (increase is still 11,274), and Tulsa MSA is 987,465 (increase is still 3,241).

[BG918]

MSA.

OKC CSA at 1,455,963.
Tulsa CSA at 1,160,348.

Just realized I forgot to take into account the estimate changes to the 2016 numbers, so the corrected estimate for OKC MSA is 1,383,737 (increase is still 11,274), and Tulsa MSA is 987,465 (increase is still 3,241).

The combined population of the CSA's for OKC and Tulsa is 2,616,311 which is .67 or 2/3 of the state's total population (3,921,000 in 2016). When do you anticipate that number being 3/4 of the state population, maybe 2030??

[PhiAlpha]

Nm

[PhiAlpha]

This is a very optimistic projection not supported by historical evidence of sustained growth.

[bchris02]

I've never liked the "CSA" metric for comparing metro areas. There are actually only a few metro areas in the country where using the CSA makes sense eg. Raleigh-Durham. It doesn't for OKC or Tulsa in my opinion and is simply just a way to inflate the numbers.

It is surprising that Tulsa continues to under-perform. Given the oil downturn and the improvement in the national economy, these numbers for OKC are about what should be expected.