General Weather Discussion - December 2018

[Hollywood]

Didn’t want to jump it and make the Jan ‘19 thread but wanted to ask how the models are showing this week? Wasn’t expecting to see winter weather but alas there’s the Winter Storm Watch.

[SoonerDave]

Unless I'm misreading things, the GFS presently has us dry through tomorrow, and then winter precip possibly moving into far SW OK early Thursday and then into central OK around midday. Precipitation is looking to last through as far as early Friday morning.

Now, I'm obviously not the expert Anon is, but just in looking at how the GFS run goes and looking at the location of the low pressure system driving all this, it sure seems to me you have a risk for a dryslot that could put a big dent in ALL this. And I also know that one of the local mets was saying two days ago that the low was on a "perfect track" for a heavy snow, but just this morning others were suggesting the later runs were pushing the system farther south.

Bottom line - there's a shot at some winter precip, possibly a glazing of ice before snow on Thursday, but it is hardly locked in stone. As is so often the case with winter weather in Oklahoma, we'll just have to wait and see.. Wednesday looks dry in any case, and Thursday appears to be the day to watch.

All comments subject to brutal refutation and correction from Anon

[stile99]

It looks similar to what we had just about one month ago. Models that disagree (in my opinion, NAM is being a little crazy with the amount of precip), with a good chance of the whole darn thing going to the south.

Weather trolls, start your engines.

[Bunty]

January weather thread has started, so try not to post any more here.