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First look at the convection-allowing models suggests that there will be a lot of elevated convection on Saturday Morning.

Storm threat should be over until sunset. There may be another round overnight, but areas north and east of OKC will likely be favored. If we are impacted, main threat will once again be marginally...

Would also note that the SPC issued a relatively rare Day 3 outlook upgrade about an hour ago (from Slight to Enhanced) but that the area they upgraded is well to the west of the Metro, which goes...

As of right now, I would say:

7 a.m. Wednesday - 1 p.m. Wednesday
10 p.m. Wednesday - 4 a.m. Thursday (low confidence)
10 p.m. Thursday - 7 a.m. Friday
4 p.m. Saturday - 1 a.m. Sunday

With...

Thinking there will be three main chances for convection in this pattern. First, would expect some elevated hailers in the vicinity of the Metro starting tomorrow morning as a warm front stalls to...

I would agree that Saturday looks most favorable for severe weather at the moment. Regardless, it is looking to be a very stormy period starting Wednesday and continuing through at least the end of...

Catch me not getting into specifics with any of this until we’re within range of the convection allowing models (a wise idea in general, but especially so given how Monday’s event unfolded), but yes...

The wind is like this every April in OKC. Don’t worry, it’ll calm down just in time for the humidity to kick in and make us wish that June through August were our windy months lol.

The OKC location is horribly run compared to the Midwest City and Moore locations, and I don’t understand why.

I am interested in next Tuesday but wondering if it will ultimately be more of a heavy rain threat than a severe weather threat. Need something to take my mind off of how poorly my predictions on...

Not a large enough area (for comparison, Wheeler is 150 acres) and not enough density for this to make any significant impact on this part of the core.

It would take a change in the current storm evolution for OKC proper to get anything, IMO. Doesn't mean it can't happen, but certainly think the severe weather threat in OKC proper has decreased...

Everything appears to be splitting OKC proper at the moment. Will have to see if anything develops in the gap to the SE of the current convection. Also possible that a storm could become dominant and...

The storm mode is looking to be very messy, but you can see that the entire area of convection continues to slowly intensify. Several areas of lightning are starting to be picked up as well.

Initiation is happening very gradually at the moment, but I would expect that the showers currently along US-183 from Cordell to Snyder will eventually be what targets the Metro.

Watch has officially been issued. Robust large hail probabilities.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0065.html

Tornado Watch is coming shortly for the entire Metro.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0322.html

Thinking 5-7 p.m. as of right now. Storms should be screaming to the NE at 50-60 mph so there may not be a ton of advance warning. But for the same reason, not expecting a long-duration threat to the...

It certainly feels muggy enough for a good severe weather threat to me. We see it time and again as we start to approach peak severe weather season here, surface heating is not the be-all and end-all...

2 p.m. special sounding from Norman, I believe.

Mesoscale analysis will be important today, could be a couple of subtle features that lead to early convective initiation. Certainly the trend over the past 12 hours seems to be that the Metro is...

It seems like things are trending towards the main area of initiation occurring to the south of the Metro. Still time for things to change, of course.

And on a related note...the cloud situation for the total solar eclipse in SE Oklahoma on the 8th looks horrendous as of right now, unfortunately. Still over 10 days out so hoping things will...

Nice hit of snow for ~ 15 minutes just NE of Downtown. It has since transitioned to rain. Thinking it will possibly transition back to snow as there seems to be a heavier pocket of precip around the...

They appear to be adding several new gas pumps at the 23rd & Santa Fe location.